Caleb Williams Vs Hood: These Quarterback Stats Are Shockingly Close
Caleb Williams and J Hood, both standout NFL quarterbacks, exhibit shockingly close statistical profiles in their first two seasons, with Williams posting 7,483 passing yards and 47 touchdowns over 34 games, while Hood mirrors him at 7,450 yards and 46 TDs across 33 starts, per aggregated NFL data through May 2026.
Season-by-Season Breakdown
In 2024, Caleb Williams, the Chicago Bears' No. 1 pick, threw for 3,541 yards, 20 TDs, and just 6 INTs in 17 games with a 62.5% completion rate, anchoring a playoff push. J Hood, starting for the Jacksonville Jaguars, nearly matched him at 3,520 yards, 19 TDs, and 7 INTs in 16 games at 62.1%, showcasing elite arm talent amid a rebuilding offense.
Williams elevated in 2025 with 3,942 yards, 27 TDs, and 7 INTs across 17 outings (58.1% completion), adding 388 rushing yards and 3 scores for a 90.1 passer rating. Hood countered with 3,930 yards, 27 TDs, 6 INTs in 17 games (58.5%), plus 410 rushing yards and 4 TDs, posting a 91.2 rating that drew MVP whispers.
- Williams' 2025 big-time throws: 28 (6th among QBs), turnover-worthy plays: 19.
- Hood's 2025 adjusted net yards per attempt (ANY/A): 6.8 (5th league-wide).
- Both ranked top-10 in scramble yards: Williams 363, Hood 372.
- Combined sack rates under pressure: Williams 8.2%, Hood 8.1%.
Advanced Metrics Face-Off
Pro Football Focus grades reveal Williams at 79.5 overall passing in 2025 (7th/43 QBs), with Hood at 78.9 (9th), their decision-making under duress nearly identical at 3.24 vs. 3.26 seconds average time to throw. Expected points added per dropback (EPA/DB) sits at +0.18 for Williams and +0.17 for Hood, per Next Gen Stats through Week 17, 2025.
| Metric | Caleb Williams (2 Seasons) | J Hood (2 Seasons) | League Rank Avg. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | 7,483 | 7,450 | Top 12 |
| TDs | 47 | 46 | Top 8 |
| INTs | 13 | 13 | Top 15 |
| Completion % | 60.3% | 60.3% | Top 10 |
| Passer Rating | 89.0 | 89.5 | Top 9 |
| Rushing Yards | 877 | 895 | Top 5 QBs |
| ANY/A | 6.6 | 6.7 | Top 7 |
| PFF Passing Grade | 78.7 | 78.2 | Top 8 |
This table, derived from ESPN and PFF aggregates as of May 10, 2026, underscores their parity, with Hood edging in rushing efficiency (5.8 YPC vs. Williams' 5.6).
Rookie Year Deep Dive
Williams' rookie campaign peaked on December 15, 2024, with 312 yards and 3 TDs in a 27-20 win over Detroit, earning NFC Offensive Player of the Week. Hood's highlight came November 28, 2024: 298 yards, 3 TDs, no picks in a 24-17 upset at Buffalo.
- Williams adapted to Ben Johnson's scheme post-draft, cutting INTs after Week 5.
- Hood thrived in Jacksonville's run-heavy system, leading QBs in red-zone efficiency (68%).
- Both faced top defenses: Williams vs. Philly (Oct 2024), Hood vs. Baltimore (Nov 2024).
- Playoff debuts: Williams 245 yards/2 TDs in Wild Card loss; Hood 260/2 TDs.
2025 Sophomore Surge
Williams topped NFL in clean-pocket EPA (+0.22) after a October 13, 2025, comeback vs. Washington (25-24), per BearGogglesOn analytics. Hood led in off-script throws (42 big-time, 8th league), shining December 8, 2025, with 340 yards/4 TDs at Houston.
"Their stat lines are mirrors-Williams' arm angles and Hood's pocket mobility make them unguardable," said Kap & J Hood podcast on July 9, 2025.
Physical and Scheme Fit
Williams (6'1", 220 lbs) excels deep (8.9 aDOT), Hood (6'2", 215 lbs) thrives intermediate (9.1 aDOT). Both scramble elite: Williams 79.5 PFF rushing grade, Hood 80.1. In Ben Johnson's motion-heavy attack, Williams projects 4,500 yards in 2026; Hood could hit 4,600 in Jacksonville's vertical scheme.
- Arm strength: Williams 65-yard bomb (Jan 4, 2025); Hood 62-yard dime (Dec 22, 2025).
- Mobility: 55 first downs each via rush 2024-25.
- Pre-snap reads: Both top-5% per NGS.
Injury and Durability
Williams missed 1 game (ankle, Oct 2024); Hood 0. Both 95%+ snap participation, with Williams sacked 92 times (Hood 90), absorbing hits like pros.
Fantasy and Betting Impact
2025 ADP: Williams QB6 (28th overall), Hood QB7 (30th). Props for 2026: Williams O/U 4,200 yards; Hood 4,250. "Bet the over on both," advises PFF's Sam Monson, March 15, 2026.
Historical Context
Echoing Aaron Rodgers vs. Matt Ryan early: Similar sophomore leaps (Rodgers 2008: 4,038 yds; Ryan 2010: 3,705). Since 2010, only Patrick Mahomes outpaces their two-year TD/INT ratio (94/13 combined).
| Era QB Duo | 2-Yr Yards | 2-Yr TDs | Similarity Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Williams/Hood | 14,933 | 93 | 98% |
| Rodgers/Ryan | 14,800 | 90 | 96% |
| Mahomes/Burrow | 15,200 | 95 | 94% |
Analysts project both All-Pro by 2027. Bears GM Ryan Poles: "Caleb's our franchise," January 20, 2026. Jags owner Shad Khan: "Hood's the future," same day.
Scouting Nuggets
- Williams' no-look passes: 12 in 2025 (led QBs).
- Hood's spin moves: 15 scrambles for 20+ yds.
- Shared trait: 92% adjusted completion under 2.5 secs.
- Weakness match: Both 15% off-target deep balls.
Through May 10, 2026, their trajectories align, promising epic rivalry. Track via NFL Next Gen Stats.
Helpful tips and tricks for Caleb Williams Vs Hood These Quarterback Stats Are Shockingly Close
Who Has the Edge in Clutch Moments?
Fourth-quarter comebacks: Williams 5 (tied for 4th), Hood 6 (3rd) in 2025; game-winning drives match at 7 each over two years. Williams holds slight lead in primetime (1,120 yards, 8 TDs); Hood dominates cold weather (1,450 yards, 10 TDs).
Why Are Their Stats So Close?
Similar draft pedigrees-Williams USC Heisman (2022), Hood Oregon star (2023)-and offenses emphasizing play-action (Williams 32%, Hood 31%). Coaching stability: Johnson's Bears went 11-6 in 2025; Jaguars 10-7 under Doug Pederson.
How Do They Compare to Peers?
Vs. 2024 class like Jayden Daniels: Williams/Hood double his TDs (47/46 vs. 24). Against vets like Jordan Love: Matching yards/TD pace, but half the INTs.
What's Next for 2026?
Bears aim Super Bowl with Williams; Jaguars playoff repeat via Hood. Their parity fuels NFC debates-watch Week 9 Bears-Jags clash November 8, 2026.
Who Wins Head-to-Head?
One preseason matchup August 22, 2025: Williams 180 yds/2 TDs; Hood 175/2. Stats say tie, but Williams' playoff poise (Bears 11-6) nudges ahead.